Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 202.134060 234.877768 272.540352 319.359283 376.406556 444.179928 531.567573
2025-08-24 156.515508 196.897436 248.193482 319.226492 416.796278 548.773603 745.518599
2025-08-31 131.074382 173.912819 232.141657 319.151873 449.607742 644.368645 970.298919
2025-09-07 115.669252 160.105987 223.888793 325.373816 489.262146 756.003755 1251.940088
2025-09-14 99.485550 142.105008 205.833227 312.226272 494.331341 812.040234 1456.809547
2025-09-21 89.700242 131.909342 197.477950 312.050867 519.501935 907.184706 1767.557198
2025-09-28 82.280190 124.210309 191.641093 314.529013 549.106463 1017.416677 2153.052494
2025-10-05 79.194365 122.906995 195.844682 334.952013 616.400307 1221.737928 2849.495373
2025-10-12 76.124774 121.157519 198.883389 353.538683 684.223566 1448.946565 3731.324907
2025-10-19 70.475192 114.304597 191.909849 351.410277 707.426034 1579.548575 4415.135330
2025-10-26 67.133032 111.103757 191.125653 361.493116 760.241403 1802.575056 5546.595713
2025-11-02 63.394148 106.769779 187.622867 365.202624 798.892046 2001.982900 6750.649294
2025-11-09 59.628575 102.414421 184.347186 370.788363 849.062858 2272.303410 8577.004361
2025-11-16 55.554193 97.108591 178.643285 370.281733 884.835854 2521.539533 10646.632327
2025-11-23 51.997099 92.402726 173.525172 370.175117 922.040447 2797.145067 13264.382553
2025-11-30 49.471610 89.445993 171.666193 377.637068 983.931958 3199.897399 17363.448941
2025-12-07 45.381538 82.934170 161.345019 361.874495 970.382130 3302.418822 19634.680178
2025-12-14 42.876641 79.434605 157.255964 361.664383 1007.106701 3641.888990 24577.611799
2025-12-21 40.829421 76.689270 154.528612 364.633296 1055.921535 4072.563740 31630.572874
2025-12-28 40.323946 77.150379 159.220285 389.136946 1190.020084 5033.367115 48372.070417
2026-01-04 39.645723 77.162358 162.850572 411.491654 1326.508514 6152.437615 74282.878983
2026-01-11 37.625741 74.019749 158.438867 408.929205 1363.995317 6726.026341 95410.034932
2026-01-18 36.519305 72.829133 158.733187 421.073963 1468.715959 7863.730717 140370.036092